I spent a few months capturing and auditing order-book and oracle data from prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) for my own research. I went in wanting to find cross-venue arbitrage. What I mostly found was that my own numbers were wrong, four times, for four boring reasons.
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As Meta pours billions into AI infrastructure and agents, Zuckerberg is working to convince investors that the payoff will be worth the price.
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