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Source: [Hacker News](https://publish.fid-media.de/server/api/core/bitstreams/e0da505d-200c-43ab-be4b-6604a4df816f/content)
I spent a few months capturing and auditing order-book and oracle data from prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) for my own research. I went in wanting to find cross-venue arbitrage. What I mostly found was that my own numbers were wrong, four times, for four boring reasons.
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As Meta pours billions into AI infrastructure and agents, Zuckerberg is working to convince investors that the payoff will be worth the price.
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