Bond traders head into the week pricing in roughly a one-in-three chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike on Wednesday, after flaring Middle East tensions fueled volatility in oil prices and Treasury yields, heightening inflation worries.
Source: [Bloomberg Markets](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-07-26/bond-traders-on-edge-as-risks-of-fed-rate-hike-this-week-mount)