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Four ways prediction-market "arbitrage" numbers lie
I spent a few months capturing and auditing order-book and oracle data from prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) for my own research. I went in wanting to find cross-venue arbitrage. What I mostly found was that my own numbers were wrong, four times, for four boring reasons.
Turns Out We Blew Up All Those Boats in the Caribbean for Nothing
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Mark Zuckerberg predicts that billions of people will have personal AI agents in five years
As Meta pours billions into AI infrastructure and agents, Zuckerberg is working to convince investors that the payoff will be worth the price.
Beethoven's 'Pathétique' Adagio, hand-animated in brush and ink (2020) [video]
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Cardi B Announces ‘Ah Ha’ Single Release Date & It’s Coming Sooner Than You Think
The single serves as Cardi's first release of 2026.
Enabling two settings tripled our scores on the ARC-AGI-3 benchmark
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